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Thinking Orange
Apr 22, 20203 min read
Ignore the Patterns—Drafting is Random
Consider the sex of six babies born in a hospital. Each birth is a random event—whether the first baby is a boy or a girl has no effect...
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Thinking Orange
Mar 27, 20204 min read
Reference Points and Prospect Evaluation—It’s All Relative
It’s officially #draftSZN. Time to start grinding that tape! But objectively assessing talent may be trickier for more than just not...
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Thinking Orange
Mar 25, 20203 min read
The Endowment Effect and Waiver Transactions: It’s “Add/Add” Not “Add/Drop”
Placing waiver claims can not only force pretty agonizing decisions, they can also provide a chance for quirky mental processing to lead...
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Thinking Orange
Mar 24, 20203 min read
When Less is More: How to Gain an Edge by Trading for Bad Players
Decision-making involves lots of complex thought, much of which occurs sub-consciously. These sub-conscious strategies for making sense...
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