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Thinking Orange
Fantasy Football by Choice | Behavioral Science by Training | Broncos by Blood
A FOOTBALL JOURNAL
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Draft Analysis: Pick 4.118—Albert Okwuegbunam
When the Broncos picked Noah Fant in the 2019 NFL draft, I had this to say: "The combine provides objective proof that Fant is an insane...
Thinking Orange
May 30, 20206 min read
Draft Analysis: Pick 3.95—McTelvin "Sosa" Agim
Coming out of high school, Sosa Agim (pronounced UH-geem) was a five-star prospect and the number one player in Arkansas. He was so...
Thinking Orange
May 16, 20205 min read
Draft Analysis: Pick 3.83—Lloyd Cushenberry
When the Broncos selected Lloyd Cushenberry with the 83rd pick of the draft, the CBS broadcast team had high praise for the LSU center:...
Thinking Orange
May 10, 20208 min read
Draft Analysis: Pick 3.77—Michael Ojemudia
Pick 3.77 has Vic Fangio's fingerprints all over it. Michael Ojemudia is not the most explosive or dynamic player, and he doesn't profile...
Thinking Orange
May 4, 20204 min read
Draft Analysis: Pick 2.46—K.J. Hamler
In the weeks leading up to the combine, trainer Anthony Hobgood led K.J. Hamler through a series of speed workouts called "flying...
Thinking Orange
May 1, 20209 min read
Updating the Super-Predictor Picks—Mock Draft 2.0
If you haven't seen the first version of this mock draft, the idea is relatively simple: identify the most accurate draft forecasters,...
Thinking Orange
Apr 23, 20207 min read
Ignore the Patterns—Drafting is Random
Consider the sex of six babies born in a hospital. Each birth is a random event—whether the first baby is a boy or a girl has no effect...
Thinking Orange
Apr 22, 20203 min read
What to Make of the 2020 OT Class: Past Performance Predicts Future Performance
There is a lot to think about when evaluating an offensive tackle: technique, athleticism, ceiling, floor, size, arm length, demeanor—the...
Thinking Orange
Apr 21, 20207 min read
One Mock to Rule Them All: Pooling Results from Draft Super-Predictors
Researchers use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of many studies on a single topic. It's a particularly useful tool when any one...
Thinking Orange
Apr 18, 20206 min read
Top WR Prospects Part III: CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb is an undeniably electric playmaker. He can so thoroughly embarrass a defense that opposing fans just have to shake their...
Thinking Orange
Apr 12, 20208 min read
Top WR Prospects Mini-Series Part II: Jerry Jeudy
Jerry Jeudy is a magician. He plays football like an illusionist, tricking and manipulating defenders with sleight of hand (sleight of...
Thinking Orange
Apr 7, 20208 min read
Top WR Prospects Mini-Series Part I: Henry Ruggs III
The Broncos are in the market for a wide receiver. No need for a statement from John Elway or Vic Fangio—it's transparently clear given...
Thinking Orange
Apr 2, 20207 min read
Reference Points and Prospect Evaluation—It’s All Relative
It’s officially #draftSZN. Time to start grinding that tape! But objectively assessing talent may be trickier for more than just not...
Thinking Orange
Mar 27, 20204 min read
The Endowment Effect and Waiver Transactions: It’s “Add/Add” Not “Add/Drop”
Placing waiver claims can not only force pretty agonizing decisions, they can also provide a chance for quirky mental processing to lead...
Thinking Orange
Mar 25, 20203 min read
When Less is More: How to Gain an Edge by Trading for Bad Players
Decision-making involves lots of complex thought, much of which occurs sub-consciously. These sub-conscious strategies for making sense...
Thinking Orange
Mar 24, 20203 min read
DeMarcus Walker Mini-Series Part III: An NFL Pass-Rusher?
We've seen how DeMarcus Walker used his quickness, understanding of leverage, and violent hands to flourish as a versatile pass-rusher in...
Thinking Orange
Mar 23, 20204 min read
DeMarcus Walker Mini-Series Part II: The Other Tricks Up His Sleeve
The swim is DeMarcus Walker's chief pass rush move, but it's not the only trick he has up his sleeve. He also uses the rip and the swipe...
Thinking Orange
Mar 22, 20203 min read
DeMarcus Walker Mini-Series Part I: The Go-To Move
DeMarcus Walker has not seen the field very much since he entered the league in 2017. Snap Percentage 2017: 10% 2018: 2% 2019: 21% The...
Thinking Orange
Mar 21, 20203 min read
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